Took a little time off after that last article, because honestly, asides from football, I don’t feel like writing about much else. During this downtime, I’ve decided to look a bit further into some players contract situations, offer a bit of insight, and then keep waiting for training camp (a month away!!!).
Because it's widely publicized that athletes are selfish that sometimes it's easy to forget that owners are too (probably even more, they didn't get rich by giving away their money), so that when a few actually deserving players ask for some, they're skewered.
Let's face it, NFL players have a small window to get their money before they suffer a career ending injury or are considered "out of their prime". Here's five players that need to get paid now (in order of importance of the matter being settled to their respected club).
#1. Larry Johnson--The Chiefs don't have a choice. Period. Their season depends soley upon LJ playing well, let alone at all. With Brodie Croyle rumored to be the season-opening starter for their offense, they might want to have a guy who's run for 3,539 yards and 37 touchdowns. While he's probably asking for a little too much in guarantees right now, expect for him to get paid before training camp. He's a 28 year old running back. LJ gets that he needs to get paid now, because the contract after this one won't be nearly as nice. Running backs just don't get huge paydays at over 30 years old. (Note: The Texans are exempt, because they love overpaying for players like Schaub and Ahman Green)
#2. Asante Samuel–Sure, they might be able to get by in the secondary without him, but do they really want to find out? The guy comes out with a league-leading (tied with Champ) 10 interceptions, and even though they're willing to throw out their franchise tag on him, they're not willing to keep him in town for much longer than this year apparently. None of this sits well with Samuel as he's threatening to charge the Patriots one game per interception last year and sit out the first 10 weeks of the season. What I don't get here is that he's only 26 years old and is clearly in his prime. Why not lock him up for about five years?
#3. Tony Romo–At least he’ll show up this season regardless if a new deal is done beforehand. However, this one's particularly tricky because of how badly Houston screwed up Matt Schaub's contract. The only bright side for the rest of the league is that they can opt out of the it three years in and only pay him roughly $7 mil a season instead of the six-year $48 million deal. With that said, I'm in the corner of paying Tony Romo now (Dallas is committed, see Brady Quinn) and not having to have to worry about him cashing in on a big year, which he'll probably have. Furthermore, he's 27, lock him up until he's 32, and Jerry Jones will have his franchise quarterback for the first time since Troy Aikman.
#4. Lance Briggs–Sure, their defense is good, but when it needs to be even better to get them a ring, why not keep your better players? Thing is they probably will, because that $7 million dollar tender is looking mighty good to Briggs right now as his hold out is looming over upcoming training camp. For a guy who loves to play and loves his teammates, he’s probably the most likely out of these players to sign the franchise tag. What I don't get is that the Bears are nearing extensions for Vasher and Tillman, but certainly not Briggs. There's obviously a belief that he's a product of working with Urlacher, but he's coming off of his third consecutive 100+ tackle season, and he's 26. Why not lock him up now before he's on Urlacher's level and he needs even more money for longer time. I'd have signed him by now, but that's only becasuse I like good linebackers.
#5. Alan Faneca–If they don’t extend that contract just a little bit, Roethlisberger might be seeing a whole lot of defensive linemen coming from his backside. The only reason not to lock this guy up for the next four or five years is going to be his age (he turns 31 in December). With that said, the guy has been a fixture in Pittsburgh over the past nine years, and I don't see why they can't work something out here. For a guy who has been a six time pro bowler and is still one of the top guards in the league, (and with the inflated contracts of lesser linemen signed to bigger and better deals), maybe Rooney could help him out, although it's not likely.
Saturday, June 23, 2007
Monday, June 18, 2007
NFL Preview and Pre-Season Power Rankings
The 2007-2008 pre-training camp, pre-pre-season power rankings/team previews. Why? Because it’s fun to speculate…Stay tuned.
This time of year, hope springs eternal. With training camp just about a month and a half away, the sky’s the limit as far as optimistically die hard fans are concerned. It’s possible, hypothetically, that any team can end up in the Super Bowl this year in my backyard here in Arizona. And why not? There have been no season ending injuries yet. No bad calls that have left anyone slighted. No unimaginative play calling or coaching that lacks common sense. No horribly run two minute drills or wasted timeouts in the beginning of the third quarter. No calls for Matt Millen’s head. And most importantly (at least for my hopes this season) not a single fumbled snap on a gimme field goal.
So aside from the turmoil swirling in Miami, with Trent Green arriving and Culpepper apparently on his way out, and that draft pick that made the entire country scratch it’s head simultaneously, (much like how everyone yelled “the cable went out ” across America during the Sopranos series Finale) things are looking up. Oh, unless you’re following Lance Briggs’s contract dispute and Tank Johnson’s guns in Chicago or the Cincinnati Bengals being, well, the Cincinnati Bengals. Or Michael Vick and the dog fighting scandal that is going to be hanging over the Falcons’ entire season. Or watching Roger Goodell throw down with Chris Henry and Pacman Jones, who just today, actually dropped his appeal of the one year suspension handed him. Even the returning Super Bowl champion Colts have key losses on the defensive end to cope with. Nothing’s ever settled in the ever tumultuous NFL, not until it’s all said and done, but there’s a whole lot of fun to be found in trying to settle it in off-season power rankings. I hope this sparks some debate, sound off below if you feel like you need to, and in the meantime, enjoy.
1. San Diego Chargers—Call me crazy if you want. I get that I’m in the minority in thinking that Norv Turner is an upgrade over Marty Schottenheimer, but I just can’t shake the feeling that Phillip Rivers is going to have another great season, and maybe even better under Turner. I imagine them finding a lot of new ways to get Antonio Gates involved, which is where I felt their only weakness last year was (underutilizing him). LT is probably not going score 31 touchdowns this year and throw for two more, but he did avoid the Madden curse and I see no reason for him to cool off now. Merriman’s not going to get suspended again and they resigned two key players in Dielman and Shaun Phillips. The biggest personnel loss is going to be Wade Phillips who headed home to Dallas. I’m a tad worried about them keeping up the same torrid pace as last year’s defense, but it should still produce some of the highest sack totals in the league. The toughest part of their schedule is going to be their opening five games and will need to come out of there with a 4-1 record to keep home field hopes alive, and I think they will.
2. New England Patriots—Why wouldn’t they sit atop all of this? Because I think that when the Chargers and Patriots meet in week two in Foxboro on Sunday Night Football, they’re going to get quite the wake up call. Having said that, these guys were serious contenders last year, and only helped their cause by adding what Tom Brady’s always wanted…lots and lots of wide receivers. Good ones too. In case you missed it, they picked up Randy Moss (for a 4th round pick…), Donte’ Stallworth, Wes Welker, and Kelley Washington. They picked up so many receivers that veteran fan favorite Troy Brown, who is 36, might not even make the team this year. I’m not sold on their running game right now, as Maroney has a bum shoulder and Corey Dillon’s no longer with the team, so that’s definitely a position to keep an eye on as training camp and pre-season rolls around. Their linebacking corps got a nice boost with the addition of Adalius Thomas, who could be used in so many different ways and positions it makes my head hurt to think of how Belichick will get him involved in their game plan. However, one of the top corners in the league Asante Samuel was franchise tagged and has not yet signed the tender. He says he plans on not showing up until week 10 of the regular season, which would definitely be a huge hit for a secondary that revolves almost entirely around him. The odds-makers have them at 2-1 to win their fourth Super Bowl this decade, but I’m not going to buy into it completely until I see the chemistry in actual games. Week 2 should be a nice barometer as to what we’ll see from them this year.
3. Indianapolis Colts—Defending Super Bowl Champions not starting the season at the top? Exactly. Problem is, I don’t trust this defense as far as I can throw them right now. After losing starting cornerbacks Nick Harper and Jason David, as well as linebacker Cato June, the Super Bowl raiding has begun. This happens to every defending champ, and these Colts are no different. One thing working in their favor is Tony Dungy’s ability to get the most out of his defenses year in and year out in that Tampa 2 scheme. They’re going to be relying heavily on a healthy Bob Sanders back at safety to help with the transition of the young corners they will be relying on. Dominic Rhodes is gone as well, which raises the question of whether or not Joseph Addai can be a full time running back in the NFL. Anthony Gonzales from Ohio State is going to be an interesting rookie; I’d say a sleeper pick for offensive rookie of the year. Peyton Manning’s under the impression that Gonzales can catch 60+ balls this season, and I don’t doubt him. Once again, their offense will be playing at an extremely high level while their defense plays catch up. Can’t see them beating either the Chargers or the Patriots right now, but that’s why they play the games, right?
4. New Orleans Saints—The top three teams in the AFC are head and shoulders above the rest of the league. After that, the Saints, while they won’t take anybody by surprise this year, should have one of the scariest and most versatile offensive attack in the league. At this point we all know what to expect out of Drew Brees, but the interesting thing to watch about the Saints this year is going to be how they respond to the loss of Joe Horn. While he’s certainly well past his prime, he was a vocal leader of this team they’ll now have to do without. They’ll now be relying on the likes of Marques Colston, Devery Henderson and rookie Robert Meachem (who entered camp overweight and has already had surgery on his knee, but will “definitely” be available when training camp starts. The running back tandem of Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush should prove even more potent this year, with both having a year of experience working with head coach Sean Payton. He will also have a new pass catching TE to work with in Eric Johnson, something he didn’t have at his disposal last year. They also had some nice defensive additions with Brian Simmons (WLB from Cincinnati) and FS Kevin Kaesviharn. My biggest concern though is their defense, which I felt just wasn’t exposed as the weakness it really was last year. They should win the NFC South and make noise once again in the playoffs, but are they Super Bowl bound?
5. Baltimore Ravens—The Ravens finished with a nice 13-3 mark last year, but I expect that total to fall to around 11 this year (and that’s assuming McNair stays healthy). I think they’re going to miss Adalius Thomas more then they think that they will, but if Ray Lewis is as healthy as he says he is, he should make up for that loss. They lost a lot on the offensive line, including Pashos and Mulitalo. Not only that, but Ovie Mughelli is now the highest paid fullback in NFL history, but Arthur Blank and the Falcons now write his checks. With Willis McGahee coming over in a trade with Buffalo to replace Jamal Lewis they should be able to use more one back sets successfully. This team’s success this year is going to ride solely on McNair’s shoulders. As long as he’s healthy and continues to manage the game like he does, they’re surefire contenders again in the AFC, but if he struggles or gets injured, the Troy Smith era could begin…and that’s probably not a good thing.
6. Chicago Bears—These guys have so many question marks right now, with Briggs’s holdout, Thomas Jones leaving off to New York via free agency, and Tank Johnson’s suspension, I feel they could go 12-4 or 8-8 or anywhere in between. On the bright side, they do get to play in the NFC Central which should get them four wins at least. The defense should be just one of the best in the league once again and keep the heat off of Grossman, at least until he has a three turnover game. Cedric Benson needs to prove he can be the man in Chicago because he sure has done a lot of talking over the past couple years. His chance is now. Ron Rivera (the defensive coordinator) is no longer there, but should that be a big deal? Devin Hester’s making the switch to receiver; let’s hope that doesn’t tire him out for punt and kick returns late in the season. This is going to be a crucial year for the franchise, where they figure out if they’re going to be able to succeed with Grossman, or if they’re going to need to search elsewhere. Keep in mind, he will be playing for a contract next year, and these guys seem to like their money.
7. Denver Broncos—This spot is completely contingent upon Jay Cutler. If he has the breakout year everyone seems to think he’ll have, then kudos to Mike Shanahan for pulling the plug on the ever-mediocre Jake Plummer era. If not, well, I’m sure they’d rather not think about it. The offensive line will be as good as it always is, but this team is literally going to revolve around Travis Henry. If he shows he can stay healthy, he’s going to have a big time year running behind this line, and, in the meantime, take a lot of the pressure off of his young quarterback. Javon Walker’s the only real receiving threat that Cutler’s going to have, but they also nabbed Stokley from the Colts, and while he is coming off of an injury plagued season, he’s obviously a good route runner and an extremely bright player. The defense is a much more sensitive subject. Al Wilson is not going to be playing for them this year and John Lynch is even older this year. They did get Dre’ Bly to take over for Darrent Williams, who tragically passed away early in the off-season, but with a different scheme being put in place by new defensive coordinator Jim Bates, will they have too many question marks to overcome?
8. Seattle Seahawks—After last year’s injury marred season, the Seahawks still found themselves in position to advance to the NFC Championship game, but came up just short. Their offense should be back to form with Matt Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander both back at 100%. Their receiving corps is going to be lead by Deion Branch, who typically shouldn’t be your top receiver, but with a year in the west coast offense under his belt, should have a more productive season this time around. Their defense was towards the bottom third of the league last year and lost Grant Wistrom and Ken Hamlin. They did bring in Patrick Kerney from the Falcons to replace Wistrom and brought over two experienced safeties in Brian Russell from Cleveland and Deon Grant from Jacksonville. The Seahawks decided not to resign tight end Jerramy Stevens and his lax attitude, off the field issues, and marginal production. Their unsettled offensive line is going to be their biggest question mark going into the season, as they’re still reeling from the loss of Steve Hutchinson. If the offensive line can beat the defense up and create some running room for Alexander, they should be serious contenders in the NFC.
9. Dallas Cowboys— Not going to lie here, it almost physically pained me to put them this far down on my list, but as to not appear as a “homer”, (they are my favorite team) here they are. The biggest difference in this team from last year is obviously the departure of Bill Parcells who built the core of this team from the ground up. Enter Wade Phillips, son of Bum, and the architect of San Diego’s ferocious unit, to hopefully turn the defensive unit into, well, an offensive one. The addition of Ken Hamlin and the decision to move Roy Williams to more of a linebacker role in the nickel formation, the Cowboys’ brain trust hopes that they can eliminate a lot of the big plays that killed them down the stretch. They shored up the offensive line with the Leonard Davis signing, who’s replacing the newly released Marco Rivera at right guard, which should allow a more powerful running game. Their offense should be at least on par with last year’s unit, if not more versatile and aggressive. Jason Garrett is looking to move receivers all over the field to exploit match-up issues. And for once, the only drama in town doesn’t involve T.O. who has been inexplicably quiet this off-season. This time it’s Greg Ellis, who actually has asked to be either moved out of town, or a contract extension which isn’t going to happen. Anthony Spencer, the first round draft pick, has been described as “a great linebacker” by Ellis, who has still mentored him throughout the OTA’s even though he feels slighted by Jerry Jones. If Tony Romo plays to the tune of 25 TDs and 15 INT this season and the defense gets after the quarterback a considerable amount of time, don’t be surprised when the Cowboys make some noise in the postseason.
10. Philadelphia Eagles—The Eagles will go as Donovan McNabb does. They’ll need to get Brian Westbrook involved a bit more in the running game, because sometimes Andy Reid forgets that he’s not a wide receiver, thus resulting in McNabb throwing 40 times a game and getting hurt halfway through the season. They’ll be returning pretty much the same unit this coming season. Aside from the defections of Donte’ Stallworth, Jeff Garcia, Michael Lewis, and Roderick Hood, not much has gone on in the city of brotherly love. They’ll score points, they’ll play solid defense as well. It’s just a question of keeping McNabb healthy. They will be contenders in the NFC again this year, but it’s going to be tough for them to keep their division title.
11. Pittsburgh Steelers—What can you say about these guys? They’ve got a new coach in Mike Tomlin, which has got to be kind of weird to Steeler fans who have become so accustomed to Bill Cowher prowling around. Ken Whisenhunt, the offensive coordinator, and Russ Grimm, the offensive line coach both headed west for Arizona, and one can only imagine the growing pains this team is going to go through. But, there is a but here…If Roethlisberger can protect the ball, and both he and Hines Ward stay healthy, and Fast Willie Parker doesn’t lose any steam, it’s tough to say that these guys couldn’t be in the thick of things come the end of the season. Hopefully the Alan Faneca contract situation will work itself out, because he’s going to be a key piece for them getting back into the playoffs this year.
12. Cincinnati Bengals—I like their offense with Palmer, Johnson & Johnson, and Houshmanzadeh, but seriously, how many more guys on this team can get arrested? I feel this team is its own worst enemy. Their defense suffered a big loss with Kaesviharn leaving to New Orleans. He led the team with six picks last year and also was the quarterback of the defense. They’ll need to win a lot of shootouts this year to have a shot at the AFC North, but they realistically could score enough points to catapult them back into the playoffs. Carson Palmer will need an MVP caliber season for his Bengals.
13. New York Jets—J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS I couldn’t believe my eyes last year when everyone had picked these guys to finish near the bottom of the pack, like Chad Pennington isn’t a solid quarterback who usually makes smart decisions with the ball and can manage a game. The Man-genius will have his hands full again this year trying to wrestle away the division title from the Pats. However, they did make a sound decision by adding Thomas Jones from the Bears who should compliment Leon Washington very well. They still have their explosive wide receivers in Coles and Cotchery, but need to find a third option to help the offense. They made a very good choice in Darrelle Revis, who will hopefully be able to contribute right away to shore up their secondary. I can’t see these guys topping 10 wins this season, and feel they’ll be pretty lucky to recreate what they had last season.
14. Carolina Panthers—These guys are impossible to figure out year after year. Last season, SI had them going to the Super Bowl…they didn’t even make the playoffs. They’ve got pretty much the same squad that they did last year, and that’s exactly why I can’t take them seriously as contenders. Jake Delhomme, who I still believe is one of the luckiest quarterbacks in the league, throws lame ducks routinely that are somehow grabbed by Steve Smith. Problem is, their running game is awfully inconsistent and if Smith is taken out of the game, they lack the imagination to get things going. I’m going to say they’ll miss the playoffs again this season, even with John Fox running the show.
15. San Francisco—These guys are the off-season trendy sleeper pick up to this point. With the additions of Nate Clements, Tully Banta-Cain, and Michael Lewis, they’ve upgraded one of the worst defensive units in the league immensely. Also, they should be playing primarily in the 3-4 this season, as all the personnel seems to be in place to finish the transition. They didn’t lose any key cogs to the team aside from Norv Turner. That’s what bothers me about this team. Does Alex Smith continue to progress without the coach that jumpstarted him in the right direction? He’s got the offensive line and Frank Gore to help him out. He also has Ashley Lelie jumping aboard to give them a pretty mediocre deep threat. Overall, they should be a lot better than last year, so long as they can keep the opposing team off the board better than they did last season.
16. Arizona Cardinals—Another chic pick. It’s hard to imagine the Cardinals winning when you actually live in Phoenix. However, I do like them bringing in Ken Whisenhunt to spark some imagination on offense and Russ Grimm, the new offensive line coach, so they can finally learn how to block. They had a very good drat high-lighted by the fifth pick Levi Jones, who Grimm preferred coming into the draft over Joe Thomas. They'll have a full season under Matt Leinart this year which should provide some stability for the team. If Edgerrin James can get a little bit of running room he can get the job done and free up the passing game to relieve some pressure. Problem is, they didn't add anything special in the off-season, didn't really lose anything, so mostly it's the same team from last season.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars—They've lost both Donovin Darius and Deon Grant from the safety position. Also gone is Kyle Brady, the long time Jaguars TE. They did add Tony Pashos to help with depth and the overall talent level of the offensive line. The biggest question at this point is their passing game. Dirk Koetter (recently fired from ASU) has been hired to fix their passing game. It's all on Leftwich this year, whether Jack Del Rio (who will be rocking a Reebok suit for all home games) likes it or not. They may even try to bring in Daunte Culpepper, but I'm not sure what that's going to do for them at this point. On the positive, a solid defensive team with solid running usually spells playoffs, however until they play at a consistent level and not down to lesser opponents, they will get lost in the sea that is the AFC.\
18. New York Giants—The always unimpressive Eli Manning is in his do-or-die year and needs to get things done now. This team is so testy. At the beginning of every year the entire team is best friends, but by the end of it they want to rip each other's head off and have quit on coach Tom Coughlin. Can't say they added anything spectacular in free agency, but they did get Aaron Ross (Texas) and Steve Smith (USC) through the draft so the Giants are really banking on them being difference makers now...not later. Coughlin is a lame duck this year, no more Tiki Barber, no more Luke Pettigout...they did getReuben Droughns to back up Brandon Jacobs. They also lossed Jay Feely, which isn't the biggest loss, but he was a solid kicker and will be missed.
19. Tennessee Titans—Talk about a state of turmoil. The Titans finished last season at 8-8 and expectations were high coming into this year. That is, until Pacman Jones got suspended for the off-season, Lendale White showed up at the off-season OTA's at about 260 pounds, and Vince Young landed on the Madden cover. Gone from last year are Travis Henry, Justin Gage, and Chris Brown has yet to be resigned. But as long as you have Vince Young on the field, you can win any game. He's going to have the weight of the state on his shoulders this year, but without any help, I can't see them replicating last year's success.
20. St. Louis Rams—One of the more active teems in free agency this year. They acquired Drew Bennet, Randy McMichael, and Travis Minor on offense. On defense they picked up James Hall, a quick pass rushing end and Chris Draft, a versatile linebacker. They’ve improved their depth on both sides and assuming Bulger, Jackson, and Holt stay healthy, and the defense improves against the run (finished 31st last season) I’ve really got no reason why they can’t make the playoffs in the NFC after barely missing with an 8-8 finish last year.
21. Kansas City Chiefs—With the Trent Green debacle finally settled, the quarterback position is no more settled now than it was last season. Brodie Croyle is probably going to start this season, even though Damon Huard led this team to the playoffs last year in Green’s absence. But will it really matter if Larry Johnson can pound the ball to the tune of 1700 yards and 20 touchdowns? No, it won’t. In a division with the Chargers and Broncos, and in the AFC no less, these guys will be left out of the playoffs.
22. Green Bay Packers—Once again the biggest off-season news for the Pack is Brett Favre maybe or maybe not retiring. Or was it that he was upset he didn’t get Randy Moss? (which I hear was not a legitimate possibility once the Patriots came along given that he had to restructure his deal) No, I know what it was, the signing of Frank Walker. Who? Exactly. A back-up defensive back for the New York Giants is the highlight of the Packers off-season. Didn’t do much at all, actually, so unless Brett Favre goes retro, they’ll probably be looking at a 6-10 season this year (I don’t care if they won their last four games to close out last season) and more questions about retirement the next.
23. Buffalo Bills—Rebuilding for the near future? They lost Willis McGahee, Nate Clements, Takeo Spikes, and London Fletcher-Baker just to name a few. But J.P. Losman and Lee Evans are starting to click and I’m pretty high on Marshawn Lynch right now. He’s like their new Thurman Thomas who will produce both on the ground and in the air. They will not challenge for a playoff spot this year, but they’re starting to piece together a nice young core to win with in a couple of seasons.
24. Atlanta Falcons—Out goes Jim Mora Jr. and in comes Bobby Petrino to lead these Falcons. While everyone seems to like him and what he does with quarterbacks, he’s never dealt with an ego like Michael Vick. They did commit to him however by trading Matt Schaub to the Texans for draft picks. They made Mughelli the highest paid FB in history by trying to institute a power running game which they don’t have the running backs for. By adding Joe Horn and losing Ashley Lelie, they improved their receivers’ hands which has been a real weak spot for these guys in the past. If Petrino can maximize Vick, look out, but if not, we’ll see the same unimaginative, self-destructing team we have in the past.
25. Miami Dolphins— Nick Saban has left town after screwing over an entire franchise with one signing. All that one move did was turn the Saints into perennial contenders and cause massive headaches for the Miami brain trust. Culpepper’s not going quietly from the practice field and this could drag on for quite some time. The biggest acquisitions for the Dolphins this off-season is that of Joey Porter, who will bring even more passion to an already aggressive defense, and Jay Feely who is actually an upgrade over Olindo Mare. They lost an inordinate amount of linemen on both sides of the ball isn’t going to help.
26. Houston Texans— Interesting off-season for these guys. Gary Kubiak brought in Matt Schaub for a nice 48 million dollar pay day, effectively ending the David Carr era. If that move doesn’t pan out the Texans could be wrecked for the next few years. However, I like them bringing in Ahman Green to team with Ron Dayne, it should provide a nice balance in the offense. Andre Johnson is still there, and as good as ever, They’re not winning a Super Bowl anytime soon, but at least they’ll put a respectable team on the field.
27. Minnesota Viking—–Regardless of what happens this season, they got the steal of the draft when Adrian “All-Day” Peterson fell into their lap at number seven. Their biggest free agent pick-up was strong safety Mike Doss from the Colts. They will not be great this year with Tavaris Jackson at quarterback unless the running game is so efficient behind Peterson and Chester Taylor that they just never have to throw the ball. Period. They’re headed in the right direction though with a young defensive core and a solid running game.
28. Washington Redskins—I like Jason Campbell, a lot, but I don’t think he’s quite ready to take these guys to the playoffs. They did get Fred Smoot back which will help them quite a bit considering he’ll back in a scheme he’s used to. The big problem is, they never add a youthful core because they trade their draft picks as soon as they can year in and year out. They had one pick in the first four rounds, which was LaRon Landry, a standout safety from LSU. He’ll team with Sean Taylor to make one of the more intriguing safety tandems in the league, but unless Joe Gibbs and company can work some serious magic, they’ll be sitting at home again come January.
29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers—They’ve had some awful seasons since winning the Super Bowl. However, they were extremely aggressive when it came to free agency this year. By adding Cata June (who’s familiar with the Tampa 2) and Kevin Carter from the Dolphins who’s still a good defensive end, they should improve defensively. The biggest question mark is going to be at quarterback. Will Chris Simms be the man to lead them in the future, or is it time for a quick fix in Jeff Garcia?
30. Detroit Lions—Calvin Johnson has been wow-ing everyone in mini camps so far. Even the veterans have been left with their jaws dropped on several occasions. With Mike Martz’s offense now featuring Jon Kitna, Roy Williams, and Calvin Johnson, their passing game should be one of the best in the league. Tatum Bell and T.J. Duckett were brought in to compete with Kevin Jones at running back. They’ve lost several depth players, but no serious starters were loss in the making of this franchise this off-season. Won’t be good, but not quite as bad as last year, right?
31. Oakland Raiders—What else could you want to hear out of Oakland except that Lane Kiffin’s in trouble for torturing the Raider players enough that the NFLPA had to step in. Personally, I’d rather have that then a bed and breakfast like atmosphere. Regardless, they made the only pick that made sense for them in JaMarcus Russell. Randy Moss is gone, which will help them because there’s nothing worse than a #1 receiver that doesn’t want to play. Jerry Porter should be happy now that Shell is gone and should go back to being a productive player again. They were very proactive this off-season with several key pick-ups including Dominic Rhodes (RB, Colts), Justin Griffith (FB, Falcons) and offensive linemen Jeremy Newberry, Cooper Carlisle, and Cornell Green which should improve their depth on offense. They’re on the right track, already having a solid defense, trying to build for the future.
32. Cleveland Browns—They traded their #1 pick from next to get Brady Quinn from the Cowboys. They added key pickups such as Eric Steinbach, Jamal Lewis, Seth McKinney, to help improve their running game. With that said, they’re just not going to be very good. Maybe competitive, but Charlie Frye is going to be their starting quarterback until they struggle and play Brady Quinn, who’s been rumored to be inaccurate and ineffective throwing into the wind. Isn’t it breezy out there in Cleveland?
This time of year, hope springs eternal. With training camp just about a month and a half away, the sky’s the limit as far as optimistically die hard fans are concerned. It’s possible, hypothetically, that any team can end up in the Super Bowl this year in my backyard here in Arizona. And why not? There have been no season ending injuries yet. No bad calls that have left anyone slighted. No unimaginative play calling or coaching that lacks common sense. No horribly run two minute drills or wasted timeouts in the beginning of the third quarter. No calls for Matt Millen’s head. And most importantly (at least for my hopes this season) not a single fumbled snap on a gimme field goal.
So aside from the turmoil swirling in Miami, with Trent Green arriving and Culpepper apparently on his way out, and that draft pick that made the entire country scratch it’s head simultaneously, (much like how everyone yelled “the cable went out ” across America during the Sopranos series Finale) things are looking up. Oh, unless you’re following Lance Briggs’s contract dispute and Tank Johnson’s guns in Chicago or the Cincinnati Bengals being, well, the Cincinnati Bengals. Or Michael Vick and the dog fighting scandal that is going to be hanging over the Falcons’ entire season. Or watching Roger Goodell throw down with Chris Henry and Pacman Jones, who just today, actually dropped his appeal of the one year suspension handed him. Even the returning Super Bowl champion Colts have key losses on the defensive end to cope with. Nothing’s ever settled in the ever tumultuous NFL, not until it’s all said and done, but there’s a whole lot of fun to be found in trying to settle it in off-season power rankings. I hope this sparks some debate, sound off below if you feel like you need to, and in the meantime, enjoy.
1. San Diego Chargers—Call me crazy if you want. I get that I’m in the minority in thinking that Norv Turner is an upgrade over Marty Schottenheimer, but I just can’t shake the feeling that Phillip Rivers is going to have another great season, and maybe even better under Turner. I imagine them finding a lot of new ways to get Antonio Gates involved, which is where I felt their only weakness last year was (underutilizing him). LT is probably not going score 31 touchdowns this year and throw for two more, but he did avoid the Madden curse and I see no reason for him to cool off now. Merriman’s not going to get suspended again and they resigned two key players in Dielman and Shaun Phillips. The biggest personnel loss is going to be Wade Phillips who headed home to Dallas. I’m a tad worried about them keeping up the same torrid pace as last year’s defense, but it should still produce some of the highest sack totals in the league. The toughest part of their schedule is going to be their opening five games and will need to come out of there with a 4-1 record to keep home field hopes alive, and I think they will.
2. New England Patriots—Why wouldn’t they sit atop all of this? Because I think that when the Chargers and Patriots meet in week two in Foxboro on Sunday Night Football, they’re going to get quite the wake up call. Having said that, these guys were serious contenders last year, and only helped their cause by adding what Tom Brady’s always wanted…lots and lots of wide receivers. Good ones too. In case you missed it, they picked up Randy Moss (for a 4th round pick…), Donte’ Stallworth, Wes Welker, and Kelley Washington. They picked up so many receivers that veteran fan favorite Troy Brown, who is 36, might not even make the team this year. I’m not sold on their running game right now, as Maroney has a bum shoulder and Corey Dillon’s no longer with the team, so that’s definitely a position to keep an eye on as training camp and pre-season rolls around. Their linebacking corps got a nice boost with the addition of Adalius Thomas, who could be used in so many different ways and positions it makes my head hurt to think of how Belichick will get him involved in their game plan. However, one of the top corners in the league Asante Samuel was franchise tagged and has not yet signed the tender. He says he plans on not showing up until week 10 of the regular season, which would definitely be a huge hit for a secondary that revolves almost entirely around him. The odds-makers have them at 2-1 to win their fourth Super Bowl this decade, but I’m not going to buy into it completely until I see the chemistry in actual games. Week 2 should be a nice barometer as to what we’ll see from them this year.
3. Indianapolis Colts—Defending Super Bowl Champions not starting the season at the top? Exactly. Problem is, I don’t trust this defense as far as I can throw them right now. After losing starting cornerbacks Nick Harper and Jason David, as well as linebacker Cato June, the Super Bowl raiding has begun. This happens to every defending champ, and these Colts are no different. One thing working in their favor is Tony Dungy’s ability to get the most out of his defenses year in and year out in that Tampa 2 scheme. They’re going to be relying heavily on a healthy Bob Sanders back at safety to help with the transition of the young corners they will be relying on. Dominic Rhodes is gone as well, which raises the question of whether or not Joseph Addai can be a full time running back in the NFL. Anthony Gonzales from Ohio State is going to be an interesting rookie; I’d say a sleeper pick for offensive rookie of the year. Peyton Manning’s under the impression that Gonzales can catch 60+ balls this season, and I don’t doubt him. Once again, their offense will be playing at an extremely high level while their defense plays catch up. Can’t see them beating either the Chargers or the Patriots right now, but that’s why they play the games, right?
4. New Orleans Saints—The top three teams in the AFC are head and shoulders above the rest of the league. After that, the Saints, while they won’t take anybody by surprise this year, should have one of the scariest and most versatile offensive attack in the league. At this point we all know what to expect out of Drew Brees, but the interesting thing to watch about the Saints this year is going to be how they respond to the loss of Joe Horn. While he’s certainly well past his prime, he was a vocal leader of this team they’ll now have to do without. They’ll now be relying on the likes of Marques Colston, Devery Henderson and rookie Robert Meachem (who entered camp overweight and has already had surgery on his knee, but will “definitely” be available when training camp starts. The running back tandem of Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush should prove even more potent this year, with both having a year of experience working with head coach Sean Payton. He will also have a new pass catching TE to work with in Eric Johnson, something he didn’t have at his disposal last year. They also had some nice defensive additions with Brian Simmons (WLB from Cincinnati) and FS Kevin Kaesviharn. My biggest concern though is their defense, which I felt just wasn’t exposed as the weakness it really was last year. They should win the NFC South and make noise once again in the playoffs, but are they Super Bowl bound?
5. Baltimore Ravens—The Ravens finished with a nice 13-3 mark last year, but I expect that total to fall to around 11 this year (and that’s assuming McNair stays healthy). I think they’re going to miss Adalius Thomas more then they think that they will, but if Ray Lewis is as healthy as he says he is, he should make up for that loss. They lost a lot on the offensive line, including Pashos and Mulitalo. Not only that, but Ovie Mughelli is now the highest paid fullback in NFL history, but Arthur Blank and the Falcons now write his checks. With Willis McGahee coming over in a trade with Buffalo to replace Jamal Lewis they should be able to use more one back sets successfully. This team’s success this year is going to ride solely on McNair’s shoulders. As long as he’s healthy and continues to manage the game like he does, they’re surefire contenders again in the AFC, but if he struggles or gets injured, the Troy Smith era could begin…and that’s probably not a good thing.
6. Chicago Bears—These guys have so many question marks right now, with Briggs’s holdout, Thomas Jones leaving off to New York via free agency, and Tank Johnson’s suspension, I feel they could go 12-4 or 8-8 or anywhere in between. On the bright side, they do get to play in the NFC Central which should get them four wins at least. The defense should be just one of the best in the league once again and keep the heat off of Grossman, at least until he has a three turnover game. Cedric Benson needs to prove he can be the man in Chicago because he sure has done a lot of talking over the past couple years. His chance is now. Ron Rivera (the defensive coordinator) is no longer there, but should that be a big deal? Devin Hester’s making the switch to receiver; let’s hope that doesn’t tire him out for punt and kick returns late in the season. This is going to be a crucial year for the franchise, where they figure out if they’re going to be able to succeed with Grossman, or if they’re going to need to search elsewhere. Keep in mind, he will be playing for a contract next year, and these guys seem to like their money.
7. Denver Broncos—This spot is completely contingent upon Jay Cutler. If he has the breakout year everyone seems to think he’ll have, then kudos to Mike Shanahan for pulling the plug on the ever-mediocre Jake Plummer era. If not, well, I’m sure they’d rather not think about it. The offensive line will be as good as it always is, but this team is literally going to revolve around Travis Henry. If he shows he can stay healthy, he’s going to have a big time year running behind this line, and, in the meantime, take a lot of the pressure off of his young quarterback. Javon Walker’s the only real receiving threat that Cutler’s going to have, but they also nabbed Stokley from the Colts, and while he is coming off of an injury plagued season, he’s obviously a good route runner and an extremely bright player. The defense is a much more sensitive subject. Al Wilson is not going to be playing for them this year and John Lynch is even older this year. They did get Dre’ Bly to take over for Darrent Williams, who tragically passed away early in the off-season, but with a different scheme being put in place by new defensive coordinator Jim Bates, will they have too many question marks to overcome?
8. Seattle Seahawks—After last year’s injury marred season, the Seahawks still found themselves in position to advance to the NFC Championship game, but came up just short. Their offense should be back to form with Matt Hasselbeck and Shaun Alexander both back at 100%. Their receiving corps is going to be lead by Deion Branch, who typically shouldn’t be your top receiver, but with a year in the west coast offense under his belt, should have a more productive season this time around. Their defense was towards the bottom third of the league last year and lost Grant Wistrom and Ken Hamlin. They did bring in Patrick Kerney from the Falcons to replace Wistrom and brought over two experienced safeties in Brian Russell from Cleveland and Deon Grant from Jacksonville. The Seahawks decided not to resign tight end Jerramy Stevens and his lax attitude, off the field issues, and marginal production. Their unsettled offensive line is going to be their biggest question mark going into the season, as they’re still reeling from the loss of Steve Hutchinson. If the offensive line can beat the defense up and create some running room for Alexander, they should be serious contenders in the NFC.
9. Dallas Cowboys— Not going to lie here, it almost physically pained me to put them this far down on my list, but as to not appear as a “homer”, (they are my favorite team) here they are. The biggest difference in this team from last year is obviously the departure of Bill Parcells who built the core of this team from the ground up. Enter Wade Phillips, son of Bum, and the architect of San Diego’s ferocious unit, to hopefully turn the defensive unit into, well, an offensive one. The addition of Ken Hamlin and the decision to move Roy Williams to more of a linebacker role in the nickel formation, the Cowboys’ brain trust hopes that they can eliminate a lot of the big plays that killed them down the stretch. They shored up the offensive line with the Leonard Davis signing, who’s replacing the newly released Marco Rivera at right guard, which should allow a more powerful running game. Their offense should be at least on par with last year’s unit, if not more versatile and aggressive. Jason Garrett is looking to move receivers all over the field to exploit match-up issues. And for once, the only drama in town doesn’t involve T.O. who has been inexplicably quiet this off-season. This time it’s Greg Ellis, who actually has asked to be either moved out of town, or a contract extension which isn’t going to happen. Anthony Spencer, the first round draft pick, has been described as “a great linebacker” by Ellis, who has still mentored him throughout the OTA’s even though he feels slighted by Jerry Jones. If Tony Romo plays to the tune of 25 TDs and 15 INT this season and the defense gets after the quarterback a considerable amount of time, don’t be surprised when the Cowboys make some noise in the postseason.
10. Philadelphia Eagles—The Eagles will go as Donovan McNabb does. They’ll need to get Brian Westbrook involved a bit more in the running game, because sometimes Andy Reid forgets that he’s not a wide receiver, thus resulting in McNabb throwing 40 times a game and getting hurt halfway through the season. They’ll be returning pretty much the same unit this coming season. Aside from the defections of Donte’ Stallworth, Jeff Garcia, Michael Lewis, and Roderick Hood, not much has gone on in the city of brotherly love. They’ll score points, they’ll play solid defense as well. It’s just a question of keeping McNabb healthy. They will be contenders in the NFC again this year, but it’s going to be tough for them to keep their division title.
11. Pittsburgh Steelers—What can you say about these guys? They’ve got a new coach in Mike Tomlin, which has got to be kind of weird to Steeler fans who have become so accustomed to Bill Cowher prowling around. Ken Whisenhunt, the offensive coordinator, and Russ Grimm, the offensive line coach both headed west for Arizona, and one can only imagine the growing pains this team is going to go through. But, there is a but here…If Roethlisberger can protect the ball, and both he and Hines Ward stay healthy, and Fast Willie Parker doesn’t lose any steam, it’s tough to say that these guys couldn’t be in the thick of things come the end of the season. Hopefully the Alan Faneca contract situation will work itself out, because he’s going to be a key piece for them getting back into the playoffs this year.
12. Cincinnati Bengals—I like their offense with Palmer, Johnson & Johnson, and Houshmanzadeh, but seriously, how many more guys on this team can get arrested? I feel this team is its own worst enemy. Their defense suffered a big loss with Kaesviharn leaving to New Orleans. He led the team with six picks last year and also was the quarterback of the defense. They’ll need to win a lot of shootouts this year to have a shot at the AFC North, but they realistically could score enough points to catapult them back into the playoffs. Carson Palmer will need an MVP caliber season for his Bengals.
13. New York Jets—J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS I couldn’t believe my eyes last year when everyone had picked these guys to finish near the bottom of the pack, like Chad Pennington isn’t a solid quarterback who usually makes smart decisions with the ball and can manage a game. The Man-genius will have his hands full again this year trying to wrestle away the division title from the Pats. However, they did make a sound decision by adding Thomas Jones from the Bears who should compliment Leon Washington very well. They still have their explosive wide receivers in Coles and Cotchery, but need to find a third option to help the offense. They made a very good choice in Darrelle Revis, who will hopefully be able to contribute right away to shore up their secondary. I can’t see these guys topping 10 wins this season, and feel they’ll be pretty lucky to recreate what they had last season.
14. Carolina Panthers—These guys are impossible to figure out year after year. Last season, SI had them going to the Super Bowl…they didn’t even make the playoffs. They’ve got pretty much the same squad that they did last year, and that’s exactly why I can’t take them seriously as contenders. Jake Delhomme, who I still believe is one of the luckiest quarterbacks in the league, throws lame ducks routinely that are somehow grabbed by Steve Smith. Problem is, their running game is awfully inconsistent and if Smith is taken out of the game, they lack the imagination to get things going. I’m going to say they’ll miss the playoffs again this season, even with John Fox running the show.
15. San Francisco—These guys are the off-season trendy sleeper pick up to this point. With the additions of Nate Clements, Tully Banta-Cain, and Michael Lewis, they’ve upgraded one of the worst defensive units in the league immensely. Also, they should be playing primarily in the 3-4 this season, as all the personnel seems to be in place to finish the transition. They didn’t lose any key cogs to the team aside from Norv Turner. That’s what bothers me about this team. Does Alex Smith continue to progress without the coach that jumpstarted him in the right direction? He’s got the offensive line and Frank Gore to help him out. He also has Ashley Lelie jumping aboard to give them a pretty mediocre deep threat. Overall, they should be a lot better than last year, so long as they can keep the opposing team off the board better than they did last season.
16. Arizona Cardinals—Another chic pick. It’s hard to imagine the Cardinals winning when you actually live in Phoenix. However, I do like them bringing in Ken Whisenhunt to spark some imagination on offense and Russ Grimm, the new offensive line coach, so they can finally learn how to block. They had a very good drat high-lighted by the fifth pick Levi Jones, who Grimm preferred coming into the draft over Joe Thomas. They'll have a full season under Matt Leinart this year which should provide some stability for the team. If Edgerrin James can get a little bit of running room he can get the job done and free up the passing game to relieve some pressure. Problem is, they didn't add anything special in the off-season, didn't really lose anything, so mostly it's the same team from last season.
17. Jacksonville Jaguars—They've lost both Donovin Darius and Deon Grant from the safety position. Also gone is Kyle Brady, the long time Jaguars TE. They did add Tony Pashos to help with depth and the overall talent level of the offensive line. The biggest question at this point is their passing game. Dirk Koetter (recently fired from ASU) has been hired to fix their passing game. It's all on Leftwich this year, whether Jack Del Rio (who will be rocking a Reebok suit for all home games) likes it or not. They may even try to bring in Daunte Culpepper, but I'm not sure what that's going to do for them at this point. On the positive, a solid defensive team with solid running usually spells playoffs, however until they play at a consistent level and not down to lesser opponents, they will get lost in the sea that is the AFC.\
18. New York Giants—The always unimpressive Eli Manning is in his do-or-die year and needs to get things done now. This team is so testy. At the beginning of every year the entire team is best friends, but by the end of it they want to rip each other's head off and have quit on coach Tom Coughlin. Can't say they added anything spectacular in free agency, but they did get Aaron Ross (Texas) and Steve Smith (USC) through the draft so the Giants are really banking on them being difference makers now...not later. Coughlin is a lame duck this year, no more Tiki Barber, no more Luke Pettigout...they did getReuben Droughns to back up Brandon Jacobs. They also lossed Jay Feely, which isn't the biggest loss, but he was a solid kicker and will be missed.
19. Tennessee Titans—Talk about a state of turmoil. The Titans finished last season at 8-8 and expectations were high coming into this year. That is, until Pacman Jones got suspended for the off-season, Lendale White showed up at the off-season OTA's at about 260 pounds, and Vince Young landed on the Madden cover. Gone from last year are Travis Henry, Justin Gage, and Chris Brown has yet to be resigned. But as long as you have Vince Young on the field, you can win any game. He's going to have the weight of the state on his shoulders this year, but without any help, I can't see them replicating last year's success.
20. St. Louis Rams—One of the more active teems in free agency this year. They acquired Drew Bennet, Randy McMichael, and Travis Minor on offense. On defense they picked up James Hall, a quick pass rushing end and Chris Draft, a versatile linebacker. They’ve improved their depth on both sides and assuming Bulger, Jackson, and Holt stay healthy, and the defense improves against the run (finished 31st last season) I’ve really got no reason why they can’t make the playoffs in the NFC after barely missing with an 8-8 finish last year.
21. Kansas City Chiefs—With the Trent Green debacle finally settled, the quarterback position is no more settled now than it was last season. Brodie Croyle is probably going to start this season, even though Damon Huard led this team to the playoffs last year in Green’s absence. But will it really matter if Larry Johnson can pound the ball to the tune of 1700 yards and 20 touchdowns? No, it won’t. In a division with the Chargers and Broncos, and in the AFC no less, these guys will be left out of the playoffs.
22. Green Bay Packers—Once again the biggest off-season news for the Pack is Brett Favre maybe or maybe not retiring. Or was it that he was upset he didn’t get Randy Moss? (which I hear was not a legitimate possibility once the Patriots came along given that he had to restructure his deal) No, I know what it was, the signing of Frank Walker. Who? Exactly. A back-up defensive back for the New York Giants is the highlight of the Packers off-season. Didn’t do much at all, actually, so unless Brett Favre goes retro, they’ll probably be looking at a 6-10 season this year (I don’t care if they won their last four games to close out last season) and more questions about retirement the next.
23. Buffalo Bills—Rebuilding for the near future? They lost Willis McGahee, Nate Clements, Takeo Spikes, and London Fletcher-Baker just to name a few. But J.P. Losman and Lee Evans are starting to click and I’m pretty high on Marshawn Lynch right now. He’s like their new Thurman Thomas who will produce both on the ground and in the air. They will not challenge for a playoff spot this year, but they’re starting to piece together a nice young core to win with in a couple of seasons.
24. Atlanta Falcons—Out goes Jim Mora Jr. and in comes Bobby Petrino to lead these Falcons. While everyone seems to like him and what he does with quarterbacks, he’s never dealt with an ego like Michael Vick. They did commit to him however by trading Matt Schaub to the Texans for draft picks. They made Mughelli the highest paid FB in history by trying to institute a power running game which they don’t have the running backs for. By adding Joe Horn and losing Ashley Lelie, they improved their receivers’ hands which has been a real weak spot for these guys in the past. If Petrino can maximize Vick, look out, but if not, we’ll see the same unimaginative, self-destructing team we have in the past.
25. Miami Dolphins— Nick Saban has left town after screwing over an entire franchise with one signing. All that one move did was turn the Saints into perennial contenders and cause massive headaches for the Miami brain trust. Culpepper’s not going quietly from the practice field and this could drag on for quite some time. The biggest acquisitions for the Dolphins this off-season is that of Joey Porter, who will bring even more passion to an already aggressive defense, and Jay Feely who is actually an upgrade over Olindo Mare. They lost an inordinate amount of linemen on both sides of the ball isn’t going to help.
26. Houston Texans— Interesting off-season for these guys. Gary Kubiak brought in Matt Schaub for a nice 48 million dollar pay day, effectively ending the David Carr era. If that move doesn’t pan out the Texans could be wrecked for the next few years. However, I like them bringing in Ahman Green to team with Ron Dayne, it should provide a nice balance in the offense. Andre Johnson is still there, and as good as ever, They’re not winning a Super Bowl anytime soon, but at least they’ll put a respectable team on the field.
27. Minnesota Viking—–Regardless of what happens this season, they got the steal of the draft when Adrian “All-Day” Peterson fell into their lap at number seven. Their biggest free agent pick-up was strong safety Mike Doss from the Colts. They will not be great this year with Tavaris Jackson at quarterback unless the running game is so efficient behind Peterson and Chester Taylor that they just never have to throw the ball. Period. They’re headed in the right direction though with a young defensive core and a solid running game.
28. Washington Redskins—I like Jason Campbell, a lot, but I don’t think he’s quite ready to take these guys to the playoffs. They did get Fred Smoot back which will help them quite a bit considering he’ll back in a scheme he’s used to. The big problem is, they never add a youthful core because they trade their draft picks as soon as they can year in and year out. They had one pick in the first four rounds, which was LaRon Landry, a standout safety from LSU. He’ll team with Sean Taylor to make one of the more intriguing safety tandems in the league, but unless Joe Gibbs and company can work some serious magic, they’ll be sitting at home again come January.
29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers—They’ve had some awful seasons since winning the Super Bowl. However, they were extremely aggressive when it came to free agency this year. By adding Cata June (who’s familiar with the Tampa 2) and Kevin Carter from the Dolphins who’s still a good defensive end, they should improve defensively. The biggest question mark is going to be at quarterback. Will Chris Simms be the man to lead them in the future, or is it time for a quick fix in Jeff Garcia?
30. Detroit Lions—Calvin Johnson has been wow-ing everyone in mini camps so far. Even the veterans have been left with their jaws dropped on several occasions. With Mike Martz’s offense now featuring Jon Kitna, Roy Williams, and Calvin Johnson, their passing game should be one of the best in the league. Tatum Bell and T.J. Duckett were brought in to compete with Kevin Jones at running back. They’ve lost several depth players, but no serious starters were loss in the making of this franchise this off-season. Won’t be good, but not quite as bad as last year, right?
31. Oakland Raiders—What else could you want to hear out of Oakland except that Lane Kiffin’s in trouble for torturing the Raider players enough that the NFLPA had to step in. Personally, I’d rather have that then a bed and breakfast like atmosphere. Regardless, they made the only pick that made sense for them in JaMarcus Russell. Randy Moss is gone, which will help them because there’s nothing worse than a #1 receiver that doesn’t want to play. Jerry Porter should be happy now that Shell is gone and should go back to being a productive player again. They were very proactive this off-season with several key pick-ups including Dominic Rhodes (RB, Colts), Justin Griffith (FB, Falcons) and offensive linemen Jeremy Newberry, Cooper Carlisle, and Cornell Green which should improve their depth on offense. They’re on the right track, already having a solid defense, trying to build for the future.
32. Cleveland Browns—They traded their #1 pick from next to get Brady Quinn from the Cowboys. They added key pickups such as Eric Steinbach, Jamal Lewis, Seth McKinney, to help improve their running game. With that said, they’re just not going to be very good. Maybe competitive, but Charlie Frye is going to be their starting quarterback until they struggle and play Brady Quinn, who’s been rumored to be inaccurate and ineffective throwing into the wind. Isn’t it breezy out there in Cleveland?
Thursday, June 14, 2007
Doomed
Just so you all know...the football power rankings are taking me a little longer than expected. It's going to be quite a lengthy entry, but as it stands now, hopefully I'll have them out tomorrow sometime. Hey, I've got a real job ya know, this isn't just magically done. Anyway, quick multi-sport thoughts and things:
And since this was posted earlier, the Spurs won the championship (83-82, sweeeeeeep). Finally we can put to rest this disappointing season and move onwards to the draft, free agency, and hopefully some clever trades.
Oh, the Yankees won their ninth straight and Josh Beckett and the Red Sox lost, putting the Bombers only seven and a half back, you've got to love it.
On a side note: I am not in any way a Yankees fan, nor do I hate them as much as the rest of America. I rooted for the Red Sox's comeback that fateful post-season and have regretted it ever since. They're more annoying than the Yankees at this point, thus my rooting for their collapse. I digress...
The power rankings will be here within the next two days...
- Mike Brown just can't catch a break. Finally starts Daniel Gibson, and "Boobie" repaid all of us with a 1-10 (0-5 from beyond the arc) 2 point, 1 assist performance.
- My guess? Spurs close it out tonight in Cleveland by 10. Get out your brooms!
- That golf thing called the U.S. Open starts today. Don't worry, Tiger Woods is there.
- This will scare Knicks fans... Isiah Thomas working the phones hard to make a deal
- Jacksonville Jaguars are looking into Daunte Culpepper, Jack Del Rio reportedly loves statuesque quarterbacks with cannons for arms. Maybe he should bring Drew Bledsoe out of retirement.
- Vilma: Dog fights equal horse races He's no Clinton Portis, but...
- Head coaches Mike Nolan (49ers) and Jack Del Rio (Jaguars) have been allowed by Roger Goodell to wear Reebok suits in all eight of their respective home games.
- Apparently Bud Selig is ready to suspend Jason Giambi unless he starts cooperating with George Mitchell. Can we suspend Bud Selig for allowing the steroid issue to come this far? Seriously...
- Yankees win their eighth game in a row...and considering they're about eight back with about 100 games to be played...well, don't count your chickens, Red Sox nation.
- DAVID STERN ON BILL SIMMONS PODCAST! DAVID STERN ON BILL SIMMONS PODCAST! Check it out over at http://www.espn.com/ because if you don't know, you better ask somebody...
And since this was posted earlier, the Spurs won the championship (83-82, sweeeeeeep). Finally we can put to rest this disappointing season and move onwards to the draft, free agency, and hopefully some clever trades.
Oh, the Yankees won their ninth straight and Josh Beckett and the Red Sox lost, putting the Bombers only seven and a half back, you've got to love it.
On a side note: I am not in any way a Yankees fan, nor do I hate them as much as the rest of America. I rooted for the Red Sox's comeback that fateful post-season and have regretted it ever since. They're more annoying than the Yankees at this point, thus my rooting for their collapse. I digress...
The power rankings will be here within the next two days...
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Quick Thoughts On The Finals
Just a quick post before I get to the good stuff…
The NBA Finals game 2 rating from Sunday night that inexplicably was scheduled for the exact same time for the Sopranos series finale was down 25% from the game two last year. No one has taken these playoffs very seriously since the end of the Suns and Spurs series outside of a few select series. Unfortunately for the Spurs, they are apparently doomed as the most irrelevant great team of all time.
So now the time has come to stick a fork in the Cavs, give some rings to the Spurs (again) and move on with the rest of our lives (as if everyone hadn’t already done that). If this doesn’t end in four games, I’d be shocked at this point. Cleveland might be able to keep it close so long as the fans are rabid tonight at home, but until the starting lineup changes, and at least “Boobie” gets a crack at making a difference in the game…Well, insanity is going through the same process time and time again and expecting different results. Enough said.
Mike Brown apparently has no qualms with continuing to play Hughes instead of Gibson even though he can’t even score at this point, and I’m done trying to convince him otherwise. I now find myself with hopes of him getting not getting fired, but instead getting a fat contract extension based on his ability to give people like me the same thing to write about after every single game. It’s something else, the man certainly does stick to his guns, and I suppose there’s no arguing that. So with no further adieu, I’m going back to my guns and moving past the realm of professional basketball, overlooking the long (and drawn out) baseball season, (hey, only for right now, I’m only one guy) and taking us to the gridiron.
The NBA Finals game 2 rating from Sunday night that inexplicably was scheduled for the exact same time for the Sopranos series finale was down 25% from the game two last year. No one has taken these playoffs very seriously since the end of the Suns and Spurs series outside of a few select series. Unfortunately for the Spurs, they are apparently doomed as the most irrelevant great team of all time.
So now the time has come to stick a fork in the Cavs, give some rings to the Spurs (again) and move on with the rest of our lives (as if everyone hadn’t already done that). If this doesn’t end in four games, I’d be shocked at this point. Cleveland might be able to keep it close so long as the fans are rabid tonight at home, but until the starting lineup changes, and at least “Boobie” gets a crack at making a difference in the game…Well, insanity is going through the same process time and time again and expecting different results. Enough said.
Mike Brown apparently has no qualms with continuing to play Hughes instead of Gibson even though he can’t even score at this point, and I’m done trying to convince him otherwise. I now find myself with hopes of him getting not getting fired, but instead getting a fat contract extension based on his ability to give people like me the same thing to write about after every single game. It’s something else, the man certainly does stick to his guns, and I suppose there’s no arguing that. So with no further adieu, I’m going back to my guns and moving past the realm of professional basketball, overlooking the long (and drawn out) baseball season, (hey, only for right now, I’m only one guy) and taking us to the gridiron.
Saturday, June 9, 2007
Oh-Fer One
After the lowest rated game one in NBA Finals history, I'm already oh-fer one on ridiculous predictions. Don't you just love how someone (me) can be so dumb they can write an entire article about how a certain team (Cleveland Cavaliers) has no chance to beat another, far superior squad (San Antonio Spurs), and yet still picks them to win game one...on the road? There's a couple of things I should have paid a BIT more attention to. First and foremost, Mike Brown. How could I possibly imagine him showing up in San Antonio with a semblance of a game plan when he doesn't even know which players he should be starting? The best starting lineup the Cavaliers can possibly put on the floor apparently would give them too much of a realistic chance to win a game that Mike Brown doesn't feel like doing it. Why Varejao and Gibson remain on the bench at the most important junctures of the game while Hughes and Ilgauskas are continuing to play is mind boggling.
The dominant inside/outside duo of Larry and Z went a stellar (or cellar?) combined 2 for 13 from the field with an almost impossible four points. And this took them all of 23 minutes and 23 seconds apiece. Give credit to Coach Brown for somehow playing them the exact same amount of time in the game, almost as if they were the one and same mediocre ballplayer. Anyway, will he figure out that maybe, just maybe, Gibson and Varejao might be better? That you just might have to have more than 49 points after three quarters? (That’s it after three? Really? Don't the Suns do this after a quarter and a half sometimes?) They've got to generate some points by maybe, just maybe using Hughes and Ilgauskas off the bench (just because you pay them more, it doesn't mean you can't realize they're just not good enough to crack the starting five right now) to spell Gibson and Vareajo.
"Boobie" dropped 16 points on 7/9 shooting from the field including 2/3 from beyond the arc. Oh, he also had four steals and four assists without turning the ball over in 27 minutes of play. Vareajo, I'll admit, has less of a reason to be in the starting lineup, but he did manage 10 points off 3/6 from the field and 4/7 from the line. He's got twice the speed that Z does and plays "playoff basketball"...he flops. That can't hurt these days, right?
Lebron James will not be able to do this by himself. He's getting mauled by three guys every time he tries to drive, so unless he's going to start knocking down every contested jump shot and 3-pointer he shoots, he's going to need others to help him out to take some pressure off of him. When your game plan is literally trying to beat the San Antonio Spurs with one man it's time for a change. I suppose poor Mike Brown is damned if he does and damned if he doesn't at this point, because the Spurs have way more than the Cavs can handle.
Long live the worst rated NBA Finals ever. My dad's of the opinion (along with, I'm sure, all of Phoenix) that's exactly what David Stern gets. And it's true. Because nobody wants to watch basketball games that are routinely played under 90 points. That's when "playoff basketball" and "good defense" might be lousy offense, too.
So now the real question is, as my friend Sab pointed out, are more people going to watch the game tonight? Or are more people going to watch the Sopranos finale...and if I could find someone to take the bet, I'd bet on the latter.
The dominant inside/outside duo of Larry and Z went a stellar (or cellar?) combined 2 for 13 from the field with an almost impossible four points. And this took them all of 23 minutes and 23 seconds apiece. Give credit to Coach Brown for somehow playing them the exact same amount of time in the game, almost as if they were the one and same mediocre ballplayer. Anyway, will he figure out that maybe, just maybe, Gibson and Varejao might be better? That you just might have to have more than 49 points after three quarters? (That’s it after three? Really? Don't the Suns do this after a quarter and a half sometimes?) They've got to generate some points by maybe, just maybe using Hughes and Ilgauskas off the bench (just because you pay them more, it doesn't mean you can't realize they're just not good enough to crack the starting five right now) to spell Gibson and Vareajo.
"Boobie" dropped 16 points on 7/9 shooting from the field including 2/3 from beyond the arc. Oh, he also had four steals and four assists without turning the ball over in 27 minutes of play. Vareajo, I'll admit, has less of a reason to be in the starting lineup, but he did manage 10 points off 3/6 from the field and 4/7 from the line. He's got twice the speed that Z does and plays "playoff basketball"...he flops. That can't hurt these days, right?
Lebron James will not be able to do this by himself. He's getting mauled by three guys every time he tries to drive, so unless he's going to start knocking down every contested jump shot and 3-pointer he shoots, he's going to need others to help him out to take some pressure off of him. When your game plan is literally trying to beat the San Antonio Spurs with one man it's time for a change. I suppose poor Mike Brown is damned if he does and damned if he doesn't at this point, because the Spurs have way more than the Cavs can handle.
Long live the worst rated NBA Finals ever. My dad's of the opinion (along with, I'm sure, all of Phoenix) that's exactly what David Stern gets. And it's true. Because nobody wants to watch basketball games that are routinely played under 90 points. That's when "playoff basketball" and "good defense" might be lousy offense, too.
So now the real question is, as my friend Sab pointed out, are more people going to watch the game tonight? Or are more people going to watch the Sopranos finale...and if I could find someone to take the bet, I'd bet on the latter.
Thursday, June 7, 2007
NBA Final Fiasco
Imagine my dismay as I returned home from a friend’s house a little later than originally planned May 31st (catching up on the Sopranos), turned on my laptop and loaded ESPN.com...only to find out that it actually had happened. King James had arrived. And I missed it. Guess you could say it completely slipped the old mind. Even though I'd never been a fervent LBJ fan, it's obviously not an option to overlook his raw talent and potential for greatness. We were all just waiting to be a "witness". And I was late for the bus. Of course I saw the highlights, then watched a replay of the game, then watched the highlight reel again. Amazing. And although people say he slept walked through the season and never seemed to put it into 5th gear, he had, for all intents and purposes, a great year (maybe not the year the casual fan was hoping for) and had positioned his team for a run to the Finals.
Take a look at his season stats (top) vs. his postseason stats (bottom) and see where he really stepped it up and where maybe he could in the future.
78 78 40.9 .476 .319 .698 1.10 5.70 6.70 6.0 1.60 .71 3.21 2.20 27.3
G GS MPG FG% 3p% FT% OFF DEF TOT APG SPG BPG TO PF PPG
16 16 45.1 .434 .309 .766 1.40 6.90 8.30 8.3 1.88 .50 2.69 2.00 25.8
The strange thing about this is he didn't step it up where you would imagine a scorer would. Both his FG% and 3p% are down, albeit slightly, it still reflects in his scoring per game. However, there are a couple things more important than how many points King James can put on the board. Clearly he can catch fire, as seen in Game 5 when he dropped 29 of the last 30 points for the Cavs and the final 25, so doing that will never be a serious issue for him. First, his free throw percentage actually was raised 7% in the postseason as compared to the regular season, in a time of a year where free throw shooting becomes like a power running game in the NFL Playoffs, which is to say in a word, necessary. His rebounds per game went up by nearly 2 a game; his steals were raised marginally while his personal fouls decreased which would seem to highlight a stronger defensive intensity and smarter overall play. Finally, his assists per game climbed about 1.5 per game while his turnovers went down by .5 a game. It's his playmaking abilities are what will keep them with a snowball's chance in Phoenix of beating San Antonio in the finals.
We need this to happen. Well, at least I do. It’s mostly because, really, anything else at this point might be considered a failure after his breakout game. Any casual fan who actually tunes in to watch this series is going to expect Lebron to outplay a Spurs team that has its methods down to a science. A championship caliber team year in and year out, they’re anchored by Tim Duncan’s steady hand, Bowen’s dirty play, Manu Ginobili’s wild and reckless abandon, and Tony Parker’s penetration and playmaking. They have veterans that can hit shots in Michael Finley and Robert Horry (who could be useful in a game of hockey as well) and they’re run by one of the smartest coaches in the league year in and year out. So what does that spell against the lowly Cavs, who some claim is the worst team to ever represent a conference in the finals? Well, disaster, really.
The Cavaliers only chance is to keep every game close until well into the fourth and hope that LBJ can finish the Spurs off. They will have to out-hustle, out-rebound, out-defend the well oiled war machine. They’ll have to avoid stupid turnovers, stupid fouls, and stupid coaching. They will have to stop everybody but Duncan. And if they can manage to turn the last 5 minutes of every game into a legitimately close game, someone other than Lebron might have to step up and make a real shot. Because as much as we want the King to single-handedly beat the Spurs in a 7 game series, the Spurs want to stop him that much more, and he will have to display a killer instinct in 5th gear, that maybe we just haven’t seen yet.
Now having said all that (and then some), the Spurs are going to win this series and it’s been a sad, but evident truth ever since they eliminated my beloved Suns in six. I don’t care if Cleveland won both games in the regular season against them. It won’t matter. My guess, and keep in mind I’m no NBA prognosticator, is that the Cavs have a chance to come out and surprise the Spurs in game one, a la Allen Iverson and the 76ers the Lakers in 2001 and jump out to a quick series lead. (If you think about it, there are even a few similarities between the series. First of all, one team’s a dynasty with great players and the other is a crappy team with one great player. Secondly, Eric Snow will have played on both lesser teams, which has got to be depressing for him. Also, both of his coaches on the largest stage for him have the last name Brown! The first one was Larry, this one, Mike, not as good, which must also make him sad.) But even if LBJ and Co. can do that, they shouldn’t be able to take more than 2 against the Spurs over the course of this series. I hope I’m wrong (and no, not in the aspect where the Cavs win one, or get swept) but that I’m wrong about this the way everyone was wrong about the Heat last year. And what will it take for that to happen? Lebron will have to go to a level we haven’t seen in some time. He’ll have to evoke the spirits of MJ, Magic, and Bird to do this. He’ll need to win it in the post, on the break, on the boards, from beyond the arc, and at the line. He’ll need to boost his teammate’s confidence to a level where they believe they’re never out of the game so long as he’s out on the floor. He needs to will them to victory by picking up all the slack, putting the entire city of Cleveland on his back. And we will all have bared witness.
Take a look at his season stats (top) vs. his postseason stats (bottom) and see where he really stepped it up and where maybe he could in the future.
78 78 40.9 .476 .319 .698 1.10 5.70 6.70 6.0 1.60 .71 3.21 2.20 27.3
G GS MPG FG% 3p% FT% OFF DEF TOT APG SPG BPG TO PF PPG
16 16 45.1 .434 .309 .766 1.40 6.90 8.30 8.3 1.88 .50 2.69 2.00 25.8
The strange thing about this is he didn't step it up where you would imagine a scorer would. Both his FG% and 3p% are down, albeit slightly, it still reflects in his scoring per game. However, there are a couple things more important than how many points King James can put on the board. Clearly he can catch fire, as seen in Game 5 when he dropped 29 of the last 30 points for the Cavs and the final 25, so doing that will never be a serious issue for him. First, his free throw percentage actually was raised 7% in the postseason as compared to the regular season, in a time of a year where free throw shooting becomes like a power running game in the NFL Playoffs, which is to say in a word, necessary. His rebounds per game went up by nearly 2 a game; his steals were raised marginally while his personal fouls decreased which would seem to highlight a stronger defensive intensity and smarter overall play. Finally, his assists per game climbed about 1.5 per game while his turnovers went down by .5 a game. It's his playmaking abilities are what will keep them with a snowball's chance in Phoenix of beating San Antonio in the finals.
We need this to happen. Well, at least I do. It’s mostly because, really, anything else at this point might be considered a failure after his breakout game. Any casual fan who actually tunes in to watch this series is going to expect Lebron to outplay a Spurs team that has its methods down to a science. A championship caliber team year in and year out, they’re anchored by Tim Duncan’s steady hand, Bowen’s dirty play, Manu Ginobili’s wild and reckless abandon, and Tony Parker’s penetration and playmaking. They have veterans that can hit shots in Michael Finley and Robert Horry (who could be useful in a game of hockey as well) and they’re run by one of the smartest coaches in the league year in and year out. So what does that spell against the lowly Cavs, who some claim is the worst team to ever represent a conference in the finals? Well, disaster, really.
The Cavaliers only chance is to keep every game close until well into the fourth and hope that LBJ can finish the Spurs off. They will have to out-hustle, out-rebound, out-defend the well oiled war machine. They’ll have to avoid stupid turnovers, stupid fouls, and stupid coaching. They will have to stop everybody but Duncan. And if they can manage to turn the last 5 minutes of every game into a legitimately close game, someone other than Lebron might have to step up and make a real shot. Because as much as we want the King to single-handedly beat the Spurs in a 7 game series, the Spurs want to stop him that much more, and he will have to display a killer instinct in 5th gear, that maybe we just haven’t seen yet.
Now having said all that (and then some), the Spurs are going to win this series and it’s been a sad, but evident truth ever since they eliminated my beloved Suns in six. I don’t care if Cleveland won both games in the regular season against them. It won’t matter. My guess, and keep in mind I’m no NBA prognosticator, is that the Cavs have a chance to come out and surprise the Spurs in game one, a la Allen Iverson and the 76ers the Lakers in 2001 and jump out to a quick series lead. (If you think about it, there are even a few similarities between the series. First of all, one team’s a dynasty with great players and the other is a crappy team with one great player. Secondly, Eric Snow will have played on both lesser teams, which has got to be depressing for him. Also, both of his coaches on the largest stage for him have the last name Brown! The first one was Larry, this one, Mike, not as good, which must also make him sad.) But even if LBJ and Co. can do that, they shouldn’t be able to take more than 2 against the Spurs over the course of this series. I hope I’m wrong (and no, not in the aspect where the Cavs win one, or get swept) but that I’m wrong about this the way everyone was wrong about the Heat last year. And what will it take for that to happen? Lebron will have to go to a level we haven’t seen in some time. He’ll have to evoke the spirits of MJ, Magic, and Bird to do this. He’ll need to win it in the post, on the break, on the boards, from beyond the arc, and at the line. He’ll need to boost his teammate’s confidence to a level where they believe they’re never out of the game so long as he’s out on the floor. He needs to will them to victory by picking up all the slack, putting the entire city of Cleveland on his back. And we will all have bared witness.
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